Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in New York City, positioning the lowest temperature on September 15 near 60–61°F according to National Weather Service and GFS model consensus. Current early-morning readings hover around 57–60°F, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise and no significant frontal passages or moisture to moderate the drop. This aligns with climatological September norms for Central Park, where clear, calm nights typically yield lows in the upper 50s. Trader consensus heavily favors the 60–61°F bin at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting stable forecast agreement ahead of the day's close, while lower bins remain discounted absent unexpected cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月15日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
60〜61°F 77%
58〜59°F 24%
56〜57°F 1%
54～55°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
51°F以下
<1%
52～53°F
<1%
54～55°F
1%
56〜57°F
8%
58〜59°F
24%
60〜61°F
77%
62〜63°F
<1%
64～65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68～69°F
<1%
華氏70度以上
<1%
60〜61°F 77%
58〜59°F 24%
56〜57°F 1%
54～55°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
51°F以下
$141 Vol.
<1%
52～53°F
$302 Vol.
<1%
54～55°F
$10 Vol.
1%
56〜57°F
$414 Vol.
8%
58〜59°F
$1,439 Vol.
24%
60〜61°F
$339 Vol.
77%
62〜63°F
$116 Vol.
<1%
64～65°F
$102 Vol.
<1%
66〜67°F
$192 Vol.
<1%
68～69°F
$65 Vol.
<1%
華氏70度以上
$550 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in New York City, positioning the lowest temperature on September 15 near 60–61°F according to National Weather Service and GFS model consensus. Current early-morning readings hover around 57–60°F, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise and no significant frontal passages or moisture to moderate the drop. This aligns with climatological September norms for Central Park, where clear, calm nights typically yield lows in the upper 50s. Trader consensus heavily favors the 60–61°F bin at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting stable forecast agreement ahead of the day's close, while lower bins remain discounted absent unexpected cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
音量
$3,670終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in New York City, positioning the lowest temperature on September 15 near 60–61°F according to National Weather Service and GFS model consensus. Current early-morning readings hover around 57–60°F, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise and no significant frontal passages or moisture to moderate the drop. This aligns with climatological September norms for Central Park, where clear, calm nights typically yield lows in the upper 50s. Trader consensus heavily favors the 60–61°F bin at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting stable forecast agreement ahead of the day's close, while lower bins remain discounted absent unexpected cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,670終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETClear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure are driving overnight radiative cooling in New York City, positioning the lowest temperature on September 15 near 60–61°F according to National Weather Service and GFS model consensus. Current early-morning readings hover around 57–60°F, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise and no significant frontal passages or moisture to moderate the drop. This aligns with climatological September norms for Central Park, where clear, calm nights typically yield lows in the upper 50s. Trader consensus heavily favors the 60–61°F bin at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting stable forecast agreement ahead of the day's close, while lower bins remain discounted absent unexpected cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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