Current forecast models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show Paris experiencing stable high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate westerly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 14–15 °C before dawn on September 16. Observed early-morning readings and ensemble consensus cluster tightly around this range, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. The 96 % market-implied probability for a 14 °C low reflects traders’ confidence in these verified model outputs and limited downside risk from further cooling. A stronger northerly flow or clearer skies could push the minimum to 13 °C or below, while unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection would favor 15 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のパリの最低気温は？
9月16日のパリの最低気温は？
14℃ 96%
12°C 5%
13℃ 3%
11℃以下 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11℃以下
2%
12°C
5%
13℃
3%
14℃
96%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
14℃ 96%
12°C 5%
13℃ 3%
11℃以下 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
11℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$326 Vol.
5%
13℃
$1,334 Vol.
3%
14℃
$2,179 Vol.
96%
15℃
$248 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$22 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$10 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$16 Vol.
<1%
21℃以上
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show Paris experiencing stable high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate westerly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 14–15 °C before dawn on September 16. Observed early-morning readings and ensemble consensus cluster tightly around this range, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. The 96 % market-implied probability for a 14 °C low reflects traders’ confidence in these verified model outputs and limited downside risk from further cooling. A stronger northerly flow or clearer skies could push the minimum to 13 °C or below, while unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection would favor 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$4,177終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show Paris experiencing stable high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate westerly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 14–15 °C before dawn on September 16. Observed early-morning readings and ensemble consensus cluster tightly around this range, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. The 96 % market-implied probability for a 14 °C low reflects traders’ confidence in these verified model outputs and limited downside risk from further cooling. A stronger northerly flow or clearer skies could push the minimum to 13 °C or below, while unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection would favor 15 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,177終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show Paris experiencing stable high pressure with partly cloudy skies and light to moderate westerly winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 14–15 °C before dawn on September 16. Observed early-morning readings and ensemble consensus cluster tightly around this range, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the current synoptic pattern. The 96 % market-implied probability for a 14 °C low reflects traders’ confidence in these verified model outputs and limited downside risk from further cooling. A stronger northerly flow or clearer skies could push the minimum to 13 °C or below, while unexpected cloud cover or warmer advection would favor 15 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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