Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月13日の上海の最低気温は？
5月13日の上海の最低気温は？
19℃ 100.0%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 Vol.
$17,733 Vol.
2026/05/13
14℃以下
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17°C
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
はい
20℃
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃以上
いいえ
19℃ 100.0%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
16°C <1%
$17,733 Vol.
$17,733 Vol.
2026/05/13
14℃以下
$1,780 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$1,114 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$989 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$1,007 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$2,583 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$4,663 Vol.
はい
20℃
$2,619 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$1,349 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$773 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$521 Vol.
いいえ
24℃以上
$334 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$17,733終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17,733終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the lowest temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 13, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official early-morning observations confirming a minimum of 19°C around 05:00 local time amid lingering humidity from recent frontal passages. Subsequent hourly data from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) show daytime readings climbing to 30°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly winds, with evening forecasts holding above 20°C due to urban heat island effects and overcast conditions inhibiting radiative cooling. Historical May climatology supports this, as Shanghai's average low is 16–18°C, but recent warming after early-month cold snaps has stabilized minima. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and northerly gusts tonight, though current dew points near 19°C make sub-19°C unlikely before midnight resolution. Official daily summary expected post-00:00 UTC May 14.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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