Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting Warsaw’s minimum temperature tonight around 15–16°C, driven by a moist, unstable air mass with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80–90% limit heat loss from the surface, while partial clearing overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on cloud persistence and wind mixing, creating tight probabilities between the two leading outcomes; historical August lows average near 15°C but shift with synoptic patterns like today’s frontal passage. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月29日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
15°C 43%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
2026/08/29
11°C or below
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
11%
15°C
43%
16°C
55%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 43%
13°C 18%
14°C 11%
12°C 8%
$953 Vol.
$953 Vol.
2026/08/29
11°C or below
$277 Vol.
1%
12°C
$27 Vol.
8%
13°C
$16 Vol.
18%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$5 Vol.
43%
16°C
$59 Vol.
55%
17°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting Warsaw’s minimum temperature tonight around 15–16°C, driven by a moist, unstable air mass with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80–90% limit heat loss from the surface, while partial clearing overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on cloud persistence and wind mixing, creating tight probabilities between the two leading outcomes; historical August lows average near 15°C but shift with synoptic patterns like today’s frontal passage. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$953終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting Warsaw’s minimum temperature tonight around 15–16°C, driven by a moist, unstable air mass with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80–90% limit heat loss from the surface, while partial clearing overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on cloud persistence and wind mixing, creating tight probabilities between the two leading outcomes; historical August lows average near 15°C but shift with synoptic patterns like today’s frontal passage. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$953終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on forecast models projecting Warsaw’s minimum temperature tonight around 15–16°C, driven by a moist, unstable air mass with scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Light southwesterly winds and high humidity near 80–90% limit heat loss from the surface, while partial clearing overnight could allow temperatures to dip toward 15°C under clearer skies. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on cloud persistence and wind mixing, creating tight probabilities between the two leading outcomes; historical August lows average near 15°C but shift with synoptic patterns like today’s frontal passage. Updated National Meteorological Institute guidance and real-time observations will refine these thresholds before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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