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icon for マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選

マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選

icon for マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選

マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選

エド・マーキー 72%

セス・モールトン 25%

アレクサンダー・リクリーン <1%

アヤンナ・プレスリー <1%

Polymarket

$13,320 Vol.

エド・マーキー 72%

セス・モールトン 25%

アレクサンダー・リクリーン <1%

アヤンナ・プレスリー <1%

Polymarket

$13,320 Vol.

エド・マーキー

$6,035 Vol.

72%

セス・モールトン

$4,065 Vol.

25%

アレクサンダー・リクリーン

$1,339 Vol.

1%

アヤンナ・プレスリー

$1,881 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Ed Markey holds a substantial lead in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary due to his long Senate tenure and established support among party voters, though recent Emerson College polling from early May shows his advantage narrowing to just five points over challenger Seth Moulton amid 29 percent undecided respondents. Moulton, positioning himself as a next-generation leader, has gained ground through targeted outreach in the competitive race scheduled for September 1. Minor candidates Alexander Rikleen and others register negligible support in surveys, while Ayanna Pressley opted against a bid and endorsed Markey. Traders' implied probabilities reflect Markey's incumbency edge and historical primary resilience for sitting senators, tempered by Moulton's momentum in the latest polling trends.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$13,320
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Ed Markey holds a substantial lead in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary due to his long Senate tenure and established support among party voters, though recent Emerson College polling from early May shows his advantage narrowing to just five points over challenger Seth Moulton amid 29 percent undecided respondents. Moulton, positioning himself as a next-generation leader, has gained ground through targeted outreach in the competitive race scheduled for September 1. Minor candidates Alexander Rikleen and others register negligible support in surveys, while Ayanna Pressley opted against a bid and endorsed Markey. Traders' implied probabilities reflect Markey's incumbency edge and historical primary resilience for sitting senators, tempered by Moulton's momentum in the latest polling trends.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$13,320
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「エド・マーキー」で72%、次いで「セス・モールトン」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、72¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に72%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選」は$13.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 2, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「エド・マーキー」で72%であり、市場がこの結果に72%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「セス・モールトン」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「マサチューセッツ州民主党上院予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。