Incumbent Ed Markey holds a substantial lead in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary due to his long Senate tenure and established support among party voters, though recent Emerson College polling from early May shows his advantage narrowing to just five points over challenger Seth Moulton amid 29 percent undecided respondents. Moulton, positioning himself as a next-generation leader, has gained ground through targeted outreach in the competitive race scheduled for September 1. Minor candidates Alexander Rikleen and others register negligible support in surveys, while Ayanna Pressley opted against a bid and endorsed Markey. Traders' implied probabilities reflect Markey's incumbency edge and historical primary resilience for sitting senators, tempered by Moulton's momentum in the latest polling trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エド・マーキー 72%
セス・モールトン 25%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン <1%
アヤンナ・プレスリー <1%
$13,320 Vol.
$13,320 Vol.
エド・マーキー
72%
セス・モールトン
25%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン
1%
アヤンナ・プレスリー
1%
エド・マーキー 72%
セス・モールトン 25%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン <1%
アヤンナ・プレスリー <1%
$13,320 Vol.
$13,320 Vol.
エド・マーキー
72%
セス・モールトン
25%
アレクサンダー・リクリーン
1%
アヤンナ・プレスリー
1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ed Markey holds a substantial lead in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary due to his long Senate tenure and established support among party voters, though recent Emerson College polling from early May shows his advantage narrowing to just five points over challenger Seth Moulton amid 29 percent undecided respondents. Moulton, positioning himself as a next-generation leader, has gained ground through targeted outreach in the competitive race scheduled for September 1. Minor candidates Alexander Rikleen and others register negligible support in surveys, while Ayanna Pressley opted against a bid and endorsed Markey. Traders' implied probabilities reflect Markey's incumbency edge and historical primary resilience for sitting senators, tempered by Moulton's momentum in the latest polling trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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