United Russia maintains its commanding position in trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its entrenched dominance in Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from extensive state media coverage, institutional control over candidate registration and ballot access, and procedural features such as multi-day voting and single-member districts that favor incumbents. Recent developments include United Russia’s party congress and primaries that prioritized war veterans and aligned figures, alongside ongoing restrictions limiting opposition parties like Yabloko. Polling trends and regional experiments reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as sudden leadership changes or sharp escalations in external conditions within the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日統一ロシア（ER） 98.2%
ヤブロコ <1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） <1%
$3,185,131 Vol.
$3,185,131 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
98%
ヤブロコ
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
1%
新しい人々（NL）
<1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
<1%
ロジナ
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
<1%
統一ロシア（ER） 98.2%
ヤブロコ <1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF） <1%
$3,185,131 Vol.
$3,185,131 Vol.
2026/09/30
統一ロシア（ER）
$802,776 Vol.
98%
ヤブロコ
$32,428 Vol.
1%
ロシア自由民主党（LDPR）
$205,934 Vol.
1%
ロシア連邦共産党（KPRF）
$163,330 Vol.
1%
新しい人々（NL）
$138,483 Vol.
<1%
公正ロシア・祖国のための真実（SRZP）
$736,067 Vol.
<1%
ロジナ
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
市民プラットフォーム（GP）
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its entrenched dominance in Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from extensive state media coverage, institutional control over candidate registration and ballot access, and procedural features such as multi-day voting and single-member districts that favor incumbents. Recent developments include United Russia’s party congress and primaries that prioritized war veterans and aligned figures, alongside ongoing restrictions limiting opposition parties like Yabloko. Polling trends and regional experiments reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as sudden leadership changes or sharp escalations in external conditions within the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
音量
$3,185,131終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its entrenched dominance in Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from extensive state media coverage, institutional control over candidate registration and ballot access, and procedural features such as multi-day voting and single-member districts that favor incumbents. Recent developments include United Russia’s party congress and primaries that prioritized war veterans and aligned figures, alongside ongoing restrictions limiting opposition parties like Yabloko. Polling trends and regional experiments reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as sudden leadership changes or sharp escalations in external conditions within the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
音量
$3,185,131終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in trader consensus ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its entrenched dominance in Russia's managed electoral system. The ruling party benefits from extensive state media coverage, institutional control over candidate registration and ballot access, and procedural features such as multi-day voting and single-member districts that favor incumbents. Recent developments include United Russia’s party congress and primaries that prioritized war veterans and aligned figures, alongside ongoing restrictions limiting opposition parties like Yabloko. Polling trends and regional experiments reinforce expectations of a supermajority outcome. Scenarios that could realistically alter results remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as sudden leadership changes or sharp escalations in external conditions within the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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