Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race as the sitting mayor seeking her first full term following the 2023 by-election. Trader consensus reflects her sustained polling lead—recent surveys show her at 47% against Brad Bradford’s 40% and newcomer Chris Alexander at 10%—bolstered by incumbency advantages, established campaign infrastructure, and fundraising momentum. Bradford, a city councillor who has criticized Chow on public safety and affordability, has narrowed the gap through targeted outreach and reported fundraising exceeding $1.8 million, yet remains a clear underdog. Minor candidates including Marco Mendicino and former mayor John Tory register negligible support amid a crowded field with nominations closing August 21. The race’s trajectory hinges on late-campaign dynamics before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 Vol.
$131,380 Vol.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 Vol.
$131,380 Vol.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race as the sitting mayor seeking her first full term following the 2023 by-election. Trader consensus reflects her sustained polling lead—recent surveys show her at 47% against Brad Bradford’s 40% and newcomer Chris Alexander at 10%—bolstered by incumbency advantages, established campaign infrastructure, and fundraising momentum. Bradford, a city councillor who has criticized Chow on public safety and affordability, has narrowed the gap through targeted outreach and reported fundraising exceeding $1.8 million, yet remains a clear underdog. Minor candidates including Marco Mendicino and former mayor John Tory register negligible support amid a crowded field with nominations closing August 21. The race’s trajectory hinges on late-campaign dynamics before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問