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icon for WA -05優勝者

WA -05優勝者

icon for WA -05優勝者

WA -05優勝者

$11,931 Vol.

2026/08/04
Polymarket

$11,931 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for カイル・アーシー

カイル・アーシー

$957 Vol.

いいえ

icon for デイビッド・ウォマック

デイビッド・ウォマック

$417 Vol.

いいえ

icon for マイケル・バウムガートナー

マイケル・バウムガートナー

$1,393 Vol.

はい

icon for アン・マリー・ダニマス

アン・マリー・ダニマス

$561 Vol.

いいえ

icon for アンドリュー・バートルソン

アンドリュー・バートルソン

$826 Vol.

いいえ

icon for カーメラ・コンロイ

カーメラ・コンロイ

$2,914 Vol.

はい

icon for ケビン・フェイガン

ケビン・フェイガン

$430 Vol.

いいえ

icon for マシュー・ヘイズ

マシュー・ヘイズ

$1,296 Vol.

いいえ

icon for バジュン・マヴァルワラ

バジュン・マヴァルワラ

$358 Vol.

いいえ

icon for ネイト・パウエル

ネイト・パウエル

$2,779 Vol.

いいえ

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$11,931
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 5th congressional district held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the filing deadline having passed in May. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner captured roughly 47 percent of the vote and advanced, joined by Democrat Carmela Conroy at approximately 21 percent. Independent Nate Powell finished third near 15 percent, while remaining Democratic and other candidates trailed further behind. These results set the general election matchup for November 3. Trader positioning in the primary-winner market reflects the consolidated support for the top two finishers under Washington's nonpartisan primary rules, alongside any remaining uncertainty around final certified tallies or write-in impacts.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$11,931
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「WA -05優勝者」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マイケル・バウムガートナー」で100%、次いで「カーメラ・コンロイ」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「WA -05優勝者」は$11.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「WA -05優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「WA -05優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マイケル・バウムガートナー」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「カーメラ・コンロイ」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「WA -05優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。