Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.06.30
신규
신규
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
거래량
$7,649종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$7,649종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, including recent rounds in Islamabad and Geneva, have reduced the near-term risk of additional expulsions of Iranian diplomats. Multiple countries, including the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina, issued persona non grata orders against Iranian personnel between late 2025 and early 2026 over national security and regional tensions. Since April, however, both sides have signaled continued engagement through special envoys and foreign ministerial statements, with no verified new expulsion actions reported in the past six weeks. This shift toward structured talks on nuclear issues and regional de-escalation aligns with traders pricing an unbroken period of diplomatic stability through the June 30 resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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