Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 14?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,941 거래량
$13,941 거래량
2026.05.14
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$13,941 거래량
$13,941 거래량
2026.05.14
22°C or below
$702 거래량
No
23°C
$613 거래량
No
24°C
$618 거래량
No
25°C
$621 거래량
No
26°C
$876 거래량
No
27°C
$692 거래량
No
28°C
$602 거래량
No
29°C
$844 거래량
No
30°C
$2,953 거래량
No
31°C
$3,082 거래량
No
32°C or higher
$2,338 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
거래량
$13,941종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$13,941종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City on May 14, driven by confirmed observations from the resolving station at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG/PAC), where METAR reports logged peaks of 33°C during mid-afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Panama City's equatorial climate delivers reliable May highs averaging 30–32°C amid the wet season onset, with minimal day-to-day variability per historical airport data and ECMWF/GFS model consensus projecting 33–34°C. Afternoon solar heating and low convective interference solidified this positioning; only an improbable official data revision could challenge it now, as the daily maximum window has passed.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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