Maryland's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent House and presidential contests, establishing the party's strong structural advantage for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney faces a competitive June 23 primary against former Representative David Trone, yet race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of nominee. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit probability because the district's western Maryland and Montgomery County suburbs have not supported GOP candidates at scale in the current cycle. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually large Republican turnout surge tied to national conditions, or court-ordered redistricting could narrow the gap, though none of these developments has materialized to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$20,336 거래량
$20,336 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$20,336 거래량
$20,336 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$10,154 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$10,182 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent House and presidential contests, establishing the party's strong structural advantage for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney faces a competitive June 23 primary against former Representative David Trone, yet race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of nominee. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit probability because the district's western Maryland and Montgomery County suburbs have not supported GOP candidates at scale in the current cycle. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually large Republican turnout surge tied to national conditions, or court-ordered redistricting could narrow the gap, though none of these developments has materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$20,336종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent House and presidential contests, establishing the party's strong structural advantage for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney faces a competitive June 23 primary against former Representative David Trone, yet race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of nominee. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit probability because the district's western Maryland and Montgomery County suburbs have not supported GOP candidates at scale in the current cycle. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually large Republican turnout surge tied to national conditions, or court-ordered redistricting could narrow the gap, though none of these developments has materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,336종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent House and presidential contests, establishing the party's strong structural advantage for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney faces a competitive June 23 primary against former Representative David Trone, yet race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic regardless of nominee. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit probability because the district's western Maryland and Montgomery County suburbs have not supported GOP candidates at scale in the current cycle. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually large Republican turnout surge tied to national conditions, or court-ordered redistricting could narrow the gap, though none of these developments has materialized to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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