Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner in New York’s 25th district, a seat rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index with structural Democratic advantages rooted in Monroe County and surrounding Rochester-area communities. Morelle’s 60.8 percent victory in 2024 and repeated prior wins reflect consistent voter support that has kept the district out of competitive range. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins over multiple cycles. An upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring Morelle and three challengers is unlikely to produce a general-election vulnerability, though an unexpected nominee weakness or broad national political realignment before November 3 could narrow the gap. Current trader pricing aligns with the district’s established electoral math and limited Republican inroads.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,605 거래량
$24,605 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$24,605 거래량
$24,605 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,884 거래량
94%
공화당
$9,721 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner in New York’s 25th district, a seat rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index with structural Democratic advantages rooted in Monroe County and surrounding Rochester-area communities. Morelle’s 60.8 percent victory in 2024 and repeated prior wins reflect consistent voter support that has kept the district out of competitive range. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins over multiple cycles. An upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring Morelle and three challengers is unlikely to produce a general-election vulnerability, though an unexpected nominee weakness or broad national political realignment before November 3 could narrow the gap. Current trader pricing aligns with the district’s established electoral math and limited Republican inroads.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$24,605종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner in New York’s 25th district, a seat rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index with structural Democratic advantages rooted in Monroe County and surrounding Rochester-area communities. Morelle’s 60.8 percent victory in 2024 and repeated prior wins reflect consistent voter support that has kept the district out of competitive range. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins over multiple cycles. An upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring Morelle and three challengers is unlikely to produce a general-election vulnerability, though an unexpected nominee weakness or broad national political realignment before November 3 could narrow the gap. Current trader pricing aligns with the district’s established electoral math and limited Republican inroads.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$24,605종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Joseph Morelle enters the 2026 cycle as the clear frontrunner in New York’s 25th district, a seat rated D+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index with structural Democratic advantages rooted in Monroe County and surrounding Rochester-area communities. Morelle’s 60.8 percent victory in 2024 and repeated prior wins reflect consistent voter support that has kept the district out of competitive range. The Republican nominee, Virginia McIntyre, faces an uphill path in a district where Democrats have maintained double-digit margins over multiple cycles. An upcoming June 23 Democratic primary featuring Morelle and three challengers is unlikely to produce a general-election vulnerability, though an unexpected nominee weakness or broad national political realignment before November 3 could narrow the gap. Current trader pricing aligns with the district’s established electoral math and limited Republican inroads.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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