Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 71% implied probability to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in early 2026—and Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report in an R+6 partisan index district. Salazar's 2024 victory margin of 60.4% underscores her appeal among Miami-Dade voters, including Cuban-American blocs. A crowded Democratic primary featuring five candidates, including frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, risks fragmentation; outdated March Blueprint polls showed Salazar edging both (46-43% vs. Rodriguez, 47-40% vs. Peguero). August 18 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,194 거래량
$10,194 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
27%
$10,194 거래량
$10,194 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,974 거래량
71%
Democratic Party
$6,220 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 71% implied probability to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in early 2026—and Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report in an R+6 partisan index district. Salazar's 2024 victory margin of 60.4% underscores her appeal among Miami-Dade voters, including Cuban-American blocs. A crowded Democratic primary featuring five candidates, including frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, risks fragmentation; outdated March Blueprint polls showed Salazar edging both (46-43% vs. Rodriguez, 47-40% vs. Peguero). August 18 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$10,194종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 71% implied probability to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in early 2026—and Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report in an R+6 partisan index district. Salazar's 2024 victory margin of 60.4% underscores her appeal among Miami-Dade voters, including Cuban-American blocs. A crowded Democratic primary featuring five candidates, including frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, risks fragmentation; outdated March Blueprint polls showed Salazar edging both (46-43% vs. Rodriguez, 47-40% vs. Peguero). August 18 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,194종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 71% implied probability to hold Florida's 27th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in early 2026—and Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report in an R+6 partisan index district. Salazar's 2024 victory margin of 60.4% underscores her appeal among Miami-Dade voters, including Cuban-American blocs. A crowded Democratic primary featuring five candidates, including frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, risks fragmentation; outdated March Blueprint polls showed Salazar edging both (46-43% vs. Rodriguez, 47-40% vs. Peguero). August 18 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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