Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations center on Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, which remains buried under rubble at sites like Isfahan following joint US-Israeli strikes in June 2025. President Trump has stated that the United States will obtain the material and is monitoring it via Space Force surveillance to prevent access. Iran has rejected proposals to transfer or surrender any portion of the stockpile to a third country or the US, citing distrust and insisting on retaining control within its borders. These positions follow earlier talks where Washington demanded delivery of the uranium in exchange for sanctions relief, while Tehran has offered limited concessions on enrichment limits but no movement on physical transfer. No major diplomatic breakthroughs or new military actions have occurred in the past 30 days to alter the impasse.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,807,672 거래량
5월 31일
6%
6월 30일
13%
12월 31일
27%
$14,807,672 거래량
5월 31일
6%
6월 30일
13%
12월 31일
27%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations center on Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, which remains buried under rubble at sites like Isfahan following joint US-Israeli strikes in June 2025. President Trump has stated that the United States will obtain the material and is monitoring it via Space Force surveillance to prevent access. Iran has rejected proposals to transfer or surrender any portion of the stockpile to a third country or the US, citing distrust and insisting on retaining control within its borders. These positions follow earlier talks where Washington demanded delivery of the uranium in exchange for sanctions relief, while Tehran has offered limited concessions on enrichment limits but no movement on physical transfer. No major diplomatic breakthroughs or new military actions have occurred in the past 30 days to alter the impasse.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문