Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$113,038 거래량
$113,038 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$113,038 거래량
$113,038 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$113,038종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$113,038종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent regional tensions, including reported UAE strikes on Iranian targets and ongoing fallout from the Gaza conflict, have slowed momentum for additional diplomatic normalization between Israel and Muslim-majority states. While Kazakhstan formally acceded in early 2026 and Somaliland pledged participation after its December 2025 recognition, trader consensus at 55.4% for no further accessions before 2027 reflects stalled talks with larger potential partners such as Saudi Arabia and Syria. Historical patterns show that sustained ceasefires and U.S. mediation often precede breakthroughs, yet current security concerns and coalition dynamics continue to outweigh these factors in assessments of near-term expansion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문