Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$554,851 거래량
2025.10.31
6월 30일
16%
12월 31일
35%
$554,851 거래량
6월 30일
$54,006 거래량
16%
12월 31일
$24,102 거래량
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
거래량
$554,851종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$554,851종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled that a renewed major ground offensive remains under active consideration to compel Hamas disarmament, as the fragile US-brokered ceasefire continues to erode through incremental IDF territorial gains along the Yellow Line and a 35 percent rise in airstrikes since April. The most recent catalyst was the May 16 precision strike in Gaza City that eliminated senior Hamas military commander Izz al-Din al-Haddad, underscoring Israel's ongoing targeted operations while military planners finalize options for larger-scale action if Hamas refuses to surrender weapons. These developments sustain trader focus on the balance between diplomatic pressure for de-escalation and Israel's stated security priorities, with scheduled talks on ceasefire implementation and any shifts in US or international mediation likely to influence near-term probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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