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Gospodarka·Argentyna

Argentina Monthly Inflation - April

icon for Argentina Monthly Inflation - April
Gospodarka·Argentyna

Argentina Monthly Inflation - April

Ended: May 14

Jun 11

Ended: May 14

Jun 11

2.5–2.7% 100.0%

≤2.1% <1%

2.2–2.4% <1%

2.8–3.0% <1%

Polymarket

$16,431 Wol.

2.5–2.7% 100.0%

≤2.1% <1%

2.2–2.4% <1%

2.8–3.0% <1%

Polymarket

$16,431 Wol.

≤2.1%

$1,832 Wol.

No

2.2–2.4%

$1,866 Wol.

No

2.5–2.7%

$3,235 Wol.

Yes

2.8–3.0%

$2,975 Wol.

No

3.1–3.3%

$2,366 Wol.

No

3.4–3.6%

$1,378 Wol.

No

3.7–3.9%

$1,785 Wol.

No

4.0%+

$993 Wol.

No

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Official INDEC data released on May 14 confirmed Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI inflation at 2.6% month-over-month (MoM), down sharply from March's 3.4% and aligning precisely with the Central Bank's REM survey median expectation of 2.6% as well as private forecasts near 2.5%.** This deceleration, fueled by sustained fiscal surpluses, monetary tightening under Economy Minister Caputo, and subdued regulated price adjustments, has locked in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 2.5–2.7% bin, reflecting unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. While year-to-date inflation stands at roughly 12.3%, the trend supports Milei's disinflation narrative. Only an unprecedented data revision—rare under INDEC protocols—or audit dispute could challenge this positioning ahead of May's release.

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.

Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$16,431
Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Official INDEC data released on May 14 confirmed Argentina's April 2026 monthly CPI inflation at 2.6% month-over-month (MoM), down sharply from March's 3.4% and aligning precisely with the Central Bank's REM survey median expectation of 2.6% as well as private forecasts near 2.5%.** This deceleration, fueled by sustained fiscal surpluses, monetary tightening under Economy Minister Caputo, and subdued regulated price adjustments, has locked in Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 2.5–2.7% bin, reflecting unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. While year-to-date inflation stands at roughly 12.3%, the trend supports Milei's disinflation narrative. Only an unprecedented data revision—rare under INDEC protocols—or audit dispute could challenge this positioning ahead of May's release.

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.

This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.

The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026.

Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$16,431
Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in April 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on May 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"Argentina Monthly Inflation - April" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "2.5–2.7%" z 100%, za nim "≤2.1%" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Argentina Monthly Inflation - April" wygenerował $16.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 20, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Argentina Monthly Inflation - April", przeglądaj 8 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Argentina Monthly Inflation - April" jest "2.5–2.7%" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "≤2.1%" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Argentina Monthly Inflation - April" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.