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icon for Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce
Polityka·Brazylia

Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce

icon for Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce
Polityka·Brazylia

Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce

Flávio Bolsonaro 62%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 16%

Renan Santos 7.7%

Romeu Zema 6.9%

Polymarket

$3,523,676 Wol.

Flávio Bolsonaro 62%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 16%

Renan Santos 7.7%

Romeu Zema 6.9%

Polymarket

$3,523,676 Wol.

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$56,396 Wol.

62%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$67,344 Wol.

16%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$995,940 Wol.

8%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$256,381 Wol.

7%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$72,830 Wol.

3%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$651,329 Wol.

3%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$56,064 Wol.

2%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$2,853 Wol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$289,157 Wol.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$123,364 Wol.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$111,040 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$642,631 Wol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$29,825 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$48,401 Wol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$2,260 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$77,363 Wol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$40,500 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro has emerged as the leading right-wing contender after receiving his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement late last year, allowing him to consolidate conservative support in a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round lead while Flávio trails closely behind, with other right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema drawing only low single-digit shares. This dynamic has driven trader consensus toward Flávio for second place, as opposition voters coalesce around the Liberal Party candidate. Lula’s campaign focuses on his incumbency and policy record, yet economic pressures and the polarized contest keep the race tight. Upcoming polling releases and potential endorsements from state governors remain key variables that could shift positioning before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$3,523,676
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro has emerged as the leading right-wing contender after receiving his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement late last year, allowing him to consolidate conservative support in a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holding a narrow first-round lead while Flávio trails closely behind, with other right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema drawing only low single-digit shares. This dynamic has driven trader consensus toward Flávio for second place, as opposition voters coalesce around the Liberal Party candidate. Lula’s campaign focuses on his incumbency and policy record, yet economic pressures and the polarized contest keep the race tight. Upcoming polling releases and potential endorsements from state governors remain key variables that could shift positioning before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$3,523,676
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Flávio Bolsonaro" z 62%, za nim "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" z 16%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 62¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 62% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" wygenerował $3.5 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 11, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" jest "Flávio Bolsonaro" z 62%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 62% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" z 16%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Pierwsza runda wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii: 2 miejsce" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.