Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
26°C 17%
25°C 14%
NOWE
$17,610 Wol.
NOWE
$17,610 Wol.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
17%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
26°C 17%
25°C 14%
NOWE
$17,610 Wol.
NOWE
$17,610 Wol.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$5,298 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$2,183 Wol.
1%
24°C
$2,545 Wol.
3%
25°C
$1,622 Wol.
14%
26°C
$1,392 Wol.
17%
27°C
$999 Wol.
31%
28°C
$718 Wol.
32%
29°C
$578 Wol.
5%
30°C
$350 Wol.
1%
31°C
$1,058 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$978 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,610Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,610Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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