Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Busan will reach a daily maximum near 30 °C today under clear skies and light southwesterly flow. This outcome reflects the current thermal ridge advecting warmer air over the southeastern peninsula, with afternoon temperatures climbing from morning readings around 22 °C. Historical May climatology for the Gimhae station shows typical highs of 22–24 °C, so the present setup represents a notable positive anomaly. Market-implied odds near 100 % for exactly 30 °C align with the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and the absence of significant model spread. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or localized sea-breeze cooling could shift the official maximum into an adjacent bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,353 Wol.
$49,353 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,353 Wol.
$49,353 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate that Busan will reach a daily maximum near 30 °C today under clear skies and light southwesterly flow. This outcome reflects the current thermal ridge advecting warmer air over the southeastern peninsula, with afternoon temperatures climbing from morning readings around 22 °C. Historical May climatology for the Gimhae station shows typical highs of 22–24 °C, so the present setup represents a notable positive anomaly. Market-implied odds near 100 % for exactly 30 °C align with the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and the absence of significant model spread. Only an unexpected late-day frontal passage or localized sea-breeze cooling could shift the official maximum into an adjacent bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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