Current meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department centers on a 36°C daytime maximum for Karachi on May 16, with the market-implied odds reflecting this tight consensus amid typical pre-monsoon heating. Arabian Sea sea breezes and sustained 35–50 km/h winds continue to moderate coastal temperatures, preventing the usual convective buildup that could push readings to 37°C or higher despite low humidity. Historical May climatology for the city averages near 34–35°C, providing additional context for the narrow forecast range. Any realistic challenge would require a sudden shift in steering winds or reduced marine influence, though updated model runs show little divergence through the evening observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,649 Wol.
$24,649 Wol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,649 Wol.
$24,649 Wol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department centers on a 36°C daytime maximum for Karachi on May 16, with the market-implied odds reflecting this tight consensus amid typical pre-monsoon heating. Arabian Sea sea breezes and sustained 35–50 km/h winds continue to moderate coastal temperatures, preventing the usual convective buildup that could push readings to 37°C or higher despite low humidity. Historical May climatology for the city averages near 34–35°C, providing additional context for the narrow forecast range. Any realistic challenge would require a sudden shift in steering winds or reduced marine influence, though updated model runs show little divergence through the evening observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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