Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature at or below 41°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon conditions typical of the Ganges Plain, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Official model runs and observational data show limited moisture and no active western disturbances to suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical May baselines where highs often cluster near 39–42°C. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric patterns favoring routine seasonal warmth rather than extreme spikes. A sudden shift in steering winds or unforecasted convective activity could still push readings above the threshold before official verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.7%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$39,833 Wol.
$39,833 Wol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.7%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$39,833 Wol.
$39,833 Wol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
$6,243 Wol.
100%
42°C
$2,892 Wol.
<1%
43°C
$3,901 Wol.
<1%
44°C
$5,343 Wol.
<1%
45°C
$3,118 Wol.
<1%
46°C
$2,551 Wol.
<1%
47°C
$6,418 Wol.
<1%
48°C
$6,412 Wol.
<1%
49°C
$862 Wol.
<1%
50°C
$908 Wol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature at or below 41°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon conditions typical of the Ganges Plain, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Official model runs and observational data show limited moisture and no active western disturbances to suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical May baselines where highs often cluster near 39–42°C. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric patterns favoring routine seasonal warmth rather than extreme spikes. A sudden shift in steering winds or unforecasted convective activity could still push readings above the threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,833Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature at or below 41°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon conditions typical of the Ganges Plain, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Official model runs and observational data show limited moisture and no active western disturbances to suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical May baselines where highs often cluster near 39–42°C. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric patterns favoring routine seasonal warmth rather than extreme spikes. A sudden shift in steering winds or unforecasted convective activity could still push readings above the threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,833Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature at or below 41°C on May 17 under clear pre-monsoon conditions typical of the Ganges Plain, driving the overwhelming market consensus at 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Official model runs and observational data show limited moisture and no active western disturbances to suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical May baselines where highs often cluster near 39–42°C. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric patterns favoring routine seasonal warmth rather than extreme spikes. A sudden shift in steering winds or unforecasted convective activity could still push readings above the threshold before official verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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