PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 17?
35°C 42%
34°C 33%
36°C 13.7%
37°C 1.8%
$15,585 Wol.
$15,585 Wol.
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
33%
35°C
42%
36°C
14%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 33%
36°C 13.7%
37°C 1.8%
$15,585 Wol.
$15,585 Wol.
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
$2,162 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,210 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,658 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,038 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$2,322 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$772 Wol.
33%
35°C
$1,163 Wol.
42%
36°C
$1,742 Wol.
14%
37°C
$732 Wol.
2%
38°C
$628 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$349 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,585Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,585Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLPAGASA’s latest extended outlook positions a 33°C maximum for Metro Manila on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and only a 20% rain chance, yet traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C. This reflects the strong solar heating typical of mid-May’s pre-monsoon window, when peak insolation and suppressed convection often lift actual highs 1–2°C above the official forecast. Recent days have shown similar upward deviations amid neutral ENSO conditions and lingering high-pressure influence that limits cloud cover and allows urban heat-island amplification. With afternoon thunderstorms still possible, any localized showers could cap the peak near 34°C, while clearer skies would favor the 35–36°C range that dominates current market pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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