Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Milan Malpensa indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs range from 21–23°C, positioning the 21°C outcome as the market leader at 64% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spreads around this value due to minimal variability in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating, while adjacent outcomes at 20°C and 22°C capture the remaining uncertainty from small shifts in timing or local effects. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final reading ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 60%
20°C 27%
22°C 15%
23°C 2.0%
$26,066 Wol.
$26,066 Wol.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
27%
21°C
60%
22°C
15%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 60%
20°C 27%
22°C 15%
23°C 2.0%
$26,066 Wol.
$26,066 Wol.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
$405 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$472 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$1,516 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,552 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$3,960 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$3,971 Wol.
27%
21°C
$2,837 Wol.
60%
22°C
$3,462 Wol.
15%
23°C
$3,360 Wol.
2%
24°C
$2,328 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,638 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Milan Malpensa indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs range from 21–23°C, positioning the 21°C outcome as the market leader at 64% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spreads around this value due to minimal variability in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating, while adjacent outcomes at 20°C and 22°C capture the remaining uncertainty from small shifts in timing or local effects. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final reading ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,066Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Milan Malpensa indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs range from 21–23°C, positioning the 21°C outcome as the market leader at 64% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spreads around this value due to minimal variability in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating, while adjacent outcomes at 20°C and 22°C capture the remaining uncertainty from small shifts in timing or local effects. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final reading ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$26,066Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Milan Malpensa indicate a daytime maximum near 21°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with May climatology for the Po Valley, where average highs range from 21–23°C, positioning the 21°C outcome as the market leader at 64% implied probability. Ensemble guidance shows narrow spreads around this value due to minimal variability in boundary-layer moisture and daytime heating, while adjacent outcomes at 20°C and 22°C capture the remaining uncertainty from small shifts in timing or local effects. Updated model runs and official station data through the afternoon will refine the final reading ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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