Forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles currently point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Munich, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal averages. This consensus positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C close behind due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 16–18°C, making the current setup align closely with baseline expectations rather than extremes. Traders are monitoring the latest model runs and observational data ahead of the day's peak reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 44%
15°C 32%
17°C 22%
18°C 3.5%
$19,292 Wol.
$19,292 Wol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
32%
16°C
44%
17°C
22%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 44%
15°C 32%
17°C 22%
18°C 3.5%
$19,292 Wol.
$19,292 Wol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,230 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,238 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,657 Wol.
3%
15°C
$2,583 Wol.
32%
16°C
$2,038 Wol.
44%
17°C
$2,255 Wol.
22%
18°C
$1,483 Wol.
4%
19°C
$1,375 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,474 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,403 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles currently point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Munich, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal averages. This consensus positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C close behind due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 16–18°C, making the current setup align closely with baseline expectations rather than extremes. Traders are monitoring the latest model runs and observational data ahead of the day's peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,292Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles currently point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Munich, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal averages. This consensus positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C close behind due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 16–18°C, making the current setup align closely with baseline expectations rather than extremes. Traders are monitoring the latest model runs and observational data ahead of the day's peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$19,292Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMForecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles currently point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Munich, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal averages. This consensus positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 46.5% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C close behind due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 16–18°C, making the current setup align closely with baseline expectations rather than extremes. Traders are monitoring the latest model runs and observational data ahead of the day's peak reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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