Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 19?
18°C 37%
17°C 26%
19°C 22%
16°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
26%
18°C
37%
19°C
22%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 26%
19°C 22%
16°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
$141 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$394 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$231 Wol.
1%
15°C
$332 Wol.
2%
16°C
$401 Wol.
11%
17°C
$267 Wol.
26%
18°C
$175 Wol.
37%
19°C
$397 Wol.
22%
20°C
$44 Wol.
5%
21°C or higher
$65 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,478Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,478Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s May 19 daytime maximum between 17–18 °C, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit surface heating while mild southerly advection supplies modest warmth; ensemble spread reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation amounts that could shave or boost the peak by 1 °C. Historical May climatology shows comparable days averaging 17.7 °C with a standard deviation near 2 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability to adjacent bins. Updated runs from the Deutscher Wetterdienst this evening and tomorrow morning will provide the next clear signal ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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