Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 Wol.
$16,746 Wol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
47%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 Wol.
$16,746 Wol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$1,016 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,105 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,399 Wol.
5%
15°C
$2,197 Wol.
32%
16°C
$1,733 Wol.
47%
17°C
$1,842 Wol.
18%
18°C
$1,296 Wol.
2%
19°C
$1,054 Wol.
1%
20°C
$1,346 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,203 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,746Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$16,746Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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