Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow, with partial cloud cover restricting solar heating and keeping the boundary layer cooler than May climatology. This positions the 16°C bracket as the market leader because afternoon readings are projected to crest between 15°C and 17°C depending on exact cloud timing and mixing depth. Traders assign lower but meaningful probability to 17°C if clearing allows brief additional insolation, while 15°C remains viable if thicker stratiform layers persist. Historical mid-May averages near 18°C are tempered today by the cool polar air mass advected across Central Europe. Final resolution awaits the official DWD daily maximum report after sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 53%
15°C 26%
17°C 21%
18°C 3.6%
$24,705 Wol.
$24,705 Wol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
26%
16°C
53%
17°C
21%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 53%
15°C 26%
17°C 21%
18°C 3.6%
$24,705 Wol.
$24,705 Wol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
26%
16°C
53%
17°C
21%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport under moderate high pressure and light northerly flow, with partial cloud cover restricting solar heating and keeping the boundary layer cooler than May climatology. This positions the 16°C bracket as the market leader because afternoon readings are projected to crest between 15°C and 17°C depending on exact cloud timing and mixing depth. Traders assign lower but meaningful probability to 17°C if clearing allows brief additional insolation, while 15°C remains viable if thicker stratiform layers persist. Historical mid-May averages near 18°C are tempered today by the cool polar air mass advected across Central Europe. Final resolution awaits the official DWD daily maximum report after sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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