National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) project a high temperature near 66-69°F today under sunny skies and light west-southwest winds, driving trader consensus to 100% on 66°F or higher. This positioning reflects short-range model agreement from HRRR and GFS ensembles, showing a warming trend with morning lows around 51-52°F and ample daytime heating after typical marine layer burn-off. Current observations confirm clear conditions developing, aligning with May climatological normals where average highs hover near 66°F. Realistic challenges include persistent coastal stratus delaying clearing or unexpected gusty onshore flow enhancing evaporation cooling, though NWS guidance indicates low likelihood; intraday METAR updates and the evening climate summary will confirm the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 14?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Wol.
$42,033 Wol.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$42,033 Wol.
$42,033 Wol.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) project a high temperature near 66-69°F today under sunny skies and light west-southwest winds, driving trader consensus to 100% on 66°F or higher. This positioning reflects short-range model agreement from HRRR and GFS ensembles, showing a warming trend with morning lows around 51-52°F and ample daytime heating after typical marine layer burn-off. Current observations confirm clear conditions developing, aligning with May climatological normals where average highs hover near 66°F. Realistic challenges include persistent coastal stratus delaying clearing or unexpected gusty onshore flow enhancing evaporation cooling, though NWS guidance indicates low likelihood; intraday METAR updates and the evening climate summary will confirm the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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