Recent meteorological forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting global models show Taipei on track for a daily maximum of 31°C on May 17, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical May solar heating have produced steady warming, with ensemble runs indicating little chance of significant cooling from clouds or rain. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when afternoon highs commonly reach 29–32°C. While the current data strongly support 31°C as the peak, a sudden increase in convective activity or earlier sea-breeze onset could cap the temperature one degree lower and introduce limited uncertainty into the final recorded value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,733 Wol.
$111,733 Wol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,733 Wol.
$111,733 Wol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,818 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,853 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,227 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,535 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,351 Wol.
No
28°C
$5,795 Wol.
No
29°C
$4,850 Wol.
No
30°C
$60,920 Wol.
No
31°C
$8,881 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$8,086 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$11,416 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting global models show Taipei on track for a daily maximum of 31°C on May 17, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical May solar heating have produced steady warming, with ensemble runs indicating little chance of significant cooling from clouds or rain. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when afternoon highs commonly reach 29–32°C. While the current data strongly support 31°C as the peak, a sudden increase in convective activity or earlier sea-breeze onset could cap the temperature one degree lower and introduce limited uncertainty into the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$111,733Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting global models show Taipei on track for a daily maximum of 31°C on May 17, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical May solar heating have produced steady warming, with ensemble runs indicating little chance of significant cooling from clouds or rain. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when afternoon highs commonly reach 29–32°C. While the current data strongly support 31°C as the peak, a sudden increase in convective activity or earlier sea-breeze onset could cap the temperature one degree lower and introduce limited uncertainty into the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$111,733Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent meteorological forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting global models show Taipei on track for a daily maximum of 31°C on May 17, driving the overwhelming market consensus on that outcome. Stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical May solar heating have produced steady warming, with ensemble runs indicating little chance of significant cooling from clouds or rain. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when afternoon highs commonly reach 29–32°C. While the current data strongly support 31°C as the peak, a sudden increase in convective activity or earlier sea-breeze onset could cap the temperature one degree lower and introduce limited uncertainty into the final recorded value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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