Current numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 12.5%
NOWE
$15,257 Wol.
NOWE
$15,257 Wol.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
29%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 12.5%
NOWE
$15,257 Wol.
NOWE
$15,257 Wol.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$908 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$879 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$985 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,008 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,592 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,502 Wol.
6%
30°C
$1,261 Wol.
11%
31°C
$1,517 Wol.
24%
32°C
$1,209 Wol.
29%
33°C
$1,470 Wol.
24%
34°C or higher
$2,238 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,257Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,257Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent numerical weather prediction consensus from regional ensembles and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Taipei on May 18, supported by a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors light southerly flow, moderate humidity levels, and only partial afternoon cloud cover allowing adequate solar heating. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C, as small variations in cloud thickness or timing of peak insolation could shift the exact high by 1°C. Historical mid-May climatology for Taipei shows typical maxima in the 28–32°C range under similar ridge patterns, with ensemble spread introducing modest uncertainty in final observed values at the Taipei Songshan Airport station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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