Recent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
34°C 56%
33°C 41.0%
35°C or higher 6%
25°C or below <1%
$51,357 Wol.
$51,357 Wol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
50%
34°C
44%
35°C or higher
6%
34°C 56%
33°C 41.0%
35°C or higher 6%
25°C or below <1%
$51,357 Wol.
$51,357 Wol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,426 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,762 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$3,643 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,375 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,715 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,254 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$3,140 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$8,772 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$4,373 Wol.
50%
34°C
$3,680 Wol.
44%
35°C or higher
$6,749 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$51,357Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$51,357Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent meteorological analyses indicate that a persistent subtropical ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving elevated surface temperatures across central Israel, positioning 34°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s maximum on May 17. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with light easterly winds limiting marine cooling and allowing peak readings near 33–34°C, consistent with the 49% and 27% implied probabilities. Historical May climatology places average highs around 26–28°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects stronger-than-normal anticyclonic flow. Updated observations later today from the Israel Meteorological Service will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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