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icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Polityka·Brazylia

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
Polityka·Brazylia

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NOWE

Marcelo Aro 44%

Domingos Sávio 44%

Marília Campos 44%

Manoel Carvalho 44%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 Wol.

43%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 Wol.

43%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 Wol.

43%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 Wol.

43%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 Wol.

43%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 Wol.

42%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 Wol.

42%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 Wol.

36%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 Wol.

36%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$0 Wol.

36%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 Wol.

10%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 Wol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders view the Minas Gerais Senate race for second place as highly uncertain due to a fragmented field of roughly 13 candidates competing for two seats on October 4, 2026. Recent polls from Quaest, Ipan/Panorama, and others show Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) locked in tight technical ties, with support fluctuating between 9% and 24% depending on the scenario and alliance structures. Aécio Neves’s withdrawal in August has further redistributed voter intentions without creating a clear hierarchy. Smaller-party contenders such as Ana Luiza do MLB and Áurea Carolina trail but retain niche bases, while low-polling names like Marcelo Heringer and Fidélis Alcântara face steep structural barriers. This broad distribution of viable paths to second place sustains clustered market probabilities around 44–50% for the top tier, with any late consolidation of center-right or left-leaning coalitions the most likely catalyst for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Traders view the Minas Gerais Senate race for second place as highly uncertain due to a fragmented field of roughly 13 candidates competing for two seats on October 4, 2026. Recent polls from Quaest, Ipan/Panorama, and others show Marília Campos (PT), Carlos Viana (PSD), and Domingos Sávio (PL) locked in tight technical ties, with support fluctuating between 9% and 24% depending on the scenario and alliance structures. Aécio Neves’s withdrawal in August has further redistributed voter intentions without creating a clear hierarchy. Smaller-party contenders such as Ana Luiza do MLB and Áurea Carolina trail but retain niche bases, while low-polling names like Marcelo Heringer and Fidélis Alcântara face steep structural barriers. This broad distribution of viable paths to second place sustains clustered market probabilities around 44–50% for the top tier, with any late consolidation of center-right or left-leaning coalitions the most likely catalyst for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40
Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 17 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Marcelo Aro" z 44%, za nim "Domingos Sávio" z 44%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 44¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 44% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 17, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place", przeglądaj 17 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" jest "Marcelo Aro" z 44%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 44% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Domingos Sávio" z 44%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.