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Macro Geopolitics predictions & odds

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Marco Rubio visits China by...?

Marco Rubio visits China by...?

100%

December 31

$90.9K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andrade

Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andrade

62%

Marco Cecchinato

$1.6K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

93

Ends in about 2 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$580M Vol.

$2M today

$30M Liq.

907

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%

J.D. Vance

$616M Vol.

$977K today

$30M Liq.

389

Ends in over 2 years

2026 PGA Championship Winner

2026 PGA Championship Winner

17%

Scottie Scheffler

$617K Vol.

$517K today

$4M Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

100%

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$241K Vol.

$135K today

$163K Liq.

15

Ends in 3 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$279K Vol.

$122K today

$310K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

65%

Nicolás Maduro

$88M Vol.

$120K today

$1M Liq.

331

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$610K Vol.

$75.4K today

$175K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

64%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

56%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$115K Liq.

70

Ends in about 2 months

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

49%

Javier Milei

$65.3K Vol.

$136K Liq.

16

Ends in over 1 year

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

21%

Jared Kushner

$79.0K Vol.

$64.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

85%

Delcy Rodríguez

$16.4K Vol.

$578K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

20%

Ron DeSantis

$639K Vol.

$658K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

67%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$96.0K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

EPL: Next Chelsea Manager?

EPL: Next Chelsea Manager?

68%

Xabi Alonso

$11.9K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

6%

Woody Allen

$2M Vol.

$241K Liq.

126

Ends in about 2 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$387K Vol.

$114K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macro Geopolitics.

Polymarket currently hosts 153 active markets for Macro Geopolitics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Marco Rubio visits China by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andrade”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro Geopolitics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.