Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar

Mara Rocha 47%

Marcio Bittar 32.1%

Gladson Camelí 15%

Jorge Viana 4.3%

Polymarket

$44,542 Vol.

Mara Rocha 47%

Marcio Bittar 32.1%

Gladson Camelí 15%

Jorge Viana 4.3%

Polymarket

$44,542 Vol.

icon for Mara Rocha

Mara Rocha

$17,613 Vol.

47%

icon for Marcio Bittar

Marcio Bittar

$8,148 Vol.

31%

icon for Gladson Camelí

Gladson Camelí

$13,335 Vol.

15%

icon for Jorge Viana

Jorge Viana

$1,344 Vol.

4%

icon for Petecão

Petecão

$1,871 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Inacio Moreira

Professor Inacio Moreira

$738 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dr. Junior Feitosa

Dr. Junior Feitosa

$786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Velloso

Eduardo Velloso

$706 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$44,542
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$44,542
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Marcio Bittar receberá a maioria dos votos na eleição para o Senado do Acre em 2026?

Marcio Bittar receberá a maioria dos votos na eleição para o Senado do Acre em 2026?

49%
Sim
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto vai receber o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Amazonas em 2026?

Capitão Alberto Neto vai receber o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Amazonas em 2026?

71%
Sim
icon for Bia Kicis receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal em 2026?

Bia Kicis receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal em 2026?

65%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mara Rocha" at 47%, followed by "Marcio Bittar" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar" has generated $44.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar" is "Mara Rocha" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marcio Bittar" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Acre: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.