Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara HI-02
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara HI-02
$53,097 Vol.
$53,097 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$53,097 Vol.
$53,097 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$42,836 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$10,261 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$53,097Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,097Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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