Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,155 Vol.
$61,155 Vol.
16 mai 2026
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
90°F or higher 100.0%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$61,155 Vol.
$61,155 Vol.
16 mai 2026
86-87°F
$7,097 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12,155 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$8,769 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$61,155Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,155Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Recent National Weather Service model runs indicate a dominant warm, dry air mass under strong high pressure over central Texas, promoting intense daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover that supports afternoon temperatures reaching or exceeding 90°F in Austin. This setup aligns with May climatology for the region, where clear skies and southerly flow routinely produce highs in the low to mid-90s when subsidence dominates. The market’s near-100% implied probability on 90°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions, with limited model spread in the latest guidance. Only an unforeseen increase in mid-level moisture or rapid frontal passage could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations show no such development.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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