The market's overwhelming consensus around a 22°C daily maximum in Cape Town reflects the latest South African Weather Service guidance showing a stable high-pressure ridge dominating the region, delivering light southeast winds and mostly clear skies that support modest daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with mid-May climatological norms for the Cape Peninsula, where typical maxima hover near 20–23°C under similar synoptic conditions. While forecast models show strong agreement on this outcome, any unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns from an approaching frontal system could trim the high by 1–2°C, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate limited risk of such deviation before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,817 Vol.
$37,817 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$37,817 Vol.
$37,817 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming consensus around a 22°C daily maximum in Cape Town reflects the latest South African Weather Service guidance showing a stable high-pressure ridge dominating the region, delivering light southeast winds and mostly clear skies that support modest daytime heating. This setup aligns closely with mid-May climatological norms for the Cape Peninsula, where typical maxima hover near 20–23°C under similar synoptic conditions. While forecast models show strong agreement on this outcome, any unexpected increase in cloud cover or a shift in wind patterns from an approaching frontal system could trim the high by 1–2°C, though current observational trends and ensemble guidance indicate limited risk of such deviation before sunset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions