Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Cape Town on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-autumn atmospheric conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where May highs average near 19–21°C based on long-term observational records. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.8% implied probability due to consistent model consensus and minimal variability in current pressure gradients or frontal activity. A rapid shift in wind patterns or an unseasonal warm advection could still push readings to 21°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 17 de maio?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,731 Vol.
$19,731 Vol.
17 mai 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,731 Vol.
$19,731 Vol.
17 mai 2026
14°C ou menos
$534 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,039 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,433 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,203 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,894 Vol.
100%
21°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,622 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,737 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$924 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Cape Town on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-autumn atmospheric conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where May highs average near 19–21°C based on long-term observational records. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.8% implied probability due to consistent model consensus and minimal variability in current pressure gradients or frontal activity. A rapid shift in wind patterns or an unseasonal warm advection could still push readings to 21°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$19,731Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Cape Town on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-autumn atmospheric conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where May highs average near 19–21°C based on long-term observational records. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.8% implied probability due to consistent model consensus and minimal variability in current pressure gradients or frontal activity. A rapid shift in wind patterns or an unseasonal warm advection could still push readings to 21°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,731Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Cape Town on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure systems and typical mid-autumn atmospheric conditions that limit daytime warming. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where May highs average near 19–21°C based on long-term observational records. Traders have priced this outcome at 99.8% implied probability due to consistent model consensus and minimal variability in current pressure gradients or frontal activity. A rapid shift in wind patterns or an unseasonal warm advection could still push readings to 21°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given the latest guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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