Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
NOVO
$20,143 Vol.
NOVO
$20,143 Vol.
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
27°C 16%
30°C 16%
NOVO
$20,143 Vol.
NOVO
$20,143 Vol.
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,656 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,478 Vol.
3%
27°C
$2,557 Vol.
16%
28°C
$2,179 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,914 Vol.
31%
30°C
$782 Vol.
16%
31°C
$1,652 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,292 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$2,074 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$20,143Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,143Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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