Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,490 Vol.
$66,490 Vol.
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,490 Vol.
$66,490 Vol.
17 mai 2026
23°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,745 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,042 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,971 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,251 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,424 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,437 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,331 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,891 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,979 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$66,490Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$66,490Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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