Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and anchoring the official maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station. This stable atmospheric setup, typical of the region’s subtropical spring pattern with high humidity and orographic influence from surrounding mountains, has driven the market-implied probability for a 23 °C peak above 99 percent. Traders appear confident because official observations through the day have remained within a narrow range, with only modest variability expected before the measurement window closes. A late-day clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unanticipated shift in the steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current model consensus shows little support for such a change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 17 de maio?
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 Vol.
$46,426 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 Vol.
$46,426 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and anchoring the official maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station. This stable atmospheric setup, typical of the region’s subtropical spring pattern with high humidity and orographic influence from surrounding mountains, has driven the market-implied probability for a 23 °C peak above 99 percent. Traders appear confident because official observations through the day have remained within a narrow range, with only modest variability expected before the measurement window closes. A late-day clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unanticipated shift in the steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current model consensus shows little support for such a change.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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