Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble models, supported by midday observations at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, have locked in a maximum temperature of 19°C under a high-pressure ridge with mild southerly advection of Atlantic air and moderate solar heating amid partly cloudy skies. This synoptic setup aligns closely with the historical May climatology mean daily high of 15–16°C but benefits from enhanced radiative warming and light winds that prevent rapid cooling, explaining the market’s near-certain pricing for the 19°C outcome. A realistic shift away from this consensus would require unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing insolation or an abrupt change in wind direction that enhances cool northerly flow before the afternoon peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$62,661 Vol.
$62,661 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$62,661 Vol.
$62,661 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble models, supported by midday observations at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport, have locked in a maximum temperature of 19°C under a high-pressure ridge with mild southerly advection of Atlantic air and moderate solar heating amid partly cloudy skies. This synoptic setup aligns closely with the historical May climatology mean daily high of 15–16°C but benefits from enhanced radiative warming and light winds that prevent rapid cooling, explaining the market’s near-certain pricing for the 19°C outcome. A realistic shift away from this consensus would require unexpected increases in cloud cover reducing insolation or an abrupt change in wind direction that enhances cool northerly flow before the afternoon peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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