Recent global forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System project a daytime maximum of 36–38 °C in Jeddah on May 17, driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits Red Sea moisture advection and promotes surface heating along the coastal plain. This consensus, aligned with above-average spring temperatures observed earlier in the month, underpins the 83.5 % implied probability for 37 °C or higher. Minor uncertainties remain around exact sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the peak near 36 °C and account for the 11.5 % assigned to that outcome. Official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will determine resolution within 24 hours, with historical May maxima averaging 36–37 °C providing climatological context for the current market positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 17 de maio?
37°C ou mais 78%
36°C 12%
35°C 6.0%
34°C <1%
$41,447 Vol.
$41,447 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
12%
37°C ou mais
78%
37°C ou mais 78%
36°C 12%
35°C 6.0%
34°C <1%
$41,447 Vol.
$41,447 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
12%
37°C ou mais
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNRecent global forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System project a daytime maximum of 36–38 °C in Jeddah on May 17, driven by strong high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits Red Sea moisture advection and promotes surface heating along the coastal plain. This consensus, aligned with above-average spring temperatures observed earlier in the month, underpins the 83.5 % implied probability for 37 °C or higher. Minor uncertainties remain around exact sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could cap the peak near 36 °C and account for the 11.5 % assigned to that outcome. Official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport will determine resolution within 24 hours, with historical May maxima averaging 36–37 °C providing climatological context for the current market positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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