India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 17 de maio?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,370 Vol.
$40,370 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$40,370 Vol.
$40,370 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 41°C under clear pre-monsoon skies typical of the Ganges Plain, aligning with the region’s climatological mid-May average of 40–42°C driven by intense solar heating, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. This consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 41°C or below, as official block-level guidance and recent observations show no signs of exceeding that threshold. Historical records indicate temperatures above 42°C occur mainly during stronger heatwave episodes without moisture intrusions. The outcome could shift only if updated IMD model runs or real-time station data later today revise the peak upward due to unexpected clear-sky intensification or delayed cloud formation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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