Current forecast models from the State Meteorological Agency of Spain, or AEMET, project a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds that limit rapid heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 20% reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature modeling in central Spain during mid-May. Historical climatological data show average May highs of 21–23°C, providing baseline context, while real-time AEMET observations and afternoon model updates remain key variables that could shift the final peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 17 de maio?
22°C 65%
23°C 26%
24°C 5.1%
21°C <1%
$31,908 Vol.
$31,908 Vol.
17 mai 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
65%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 65%
23°C 26%
24°C 5.1%
21°C <1%
$31,908 Vol.
$31,908 Vol.
17 mai 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,830 Vol.
1%
22°C
$4,269 Vol.
65%
23°C
$3,463 Vol.
26%
24°C
$2,838 Vol.
5%
25°C
$2,119 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$972 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the State Meteorological Agency of Spain, or AEMET, project a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds that limit rapid heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 20% reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature modeling in central Spain during mid-May. Historical climatological data show average May highs of 21–23°C, providing baseline context, while real-time AEMET observations and afternoon model updates remain key variables that could shift the final peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$31,908Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the State Meteorological Agency of Spain, or AEMET, project a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds that limit rapid heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 20% reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature modeling in central Spain during mid-May. Historical climatological data show average May highs of 21–23°C, providing baseline context, while real-time AEMET observations and afternoon model updates remain key variables that could shift the final peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$31,908Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent forecast models from the State Meteorological Agency of Spain, or AEMET, project a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds that limit rapid heating. This positions 22°C as the leading outcome at 58.5% implied probability, with 23°C at 20% reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature modeling in central Spain during mid-May. Historical climatological data show average May highs of 21–23°C, providing baseline context, while real-time AEMET observations and afternoon model updates remain key variables that could shift the final peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions