National Weather Service forecast models and regional guidance currently project a daily high of 88-89°F for Miami on May 16, supported by mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit rapid warming or cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological normals near 86°F for mid-May while reflecting the absence of significant frontal systems or moisture anomalies that could alter surface temperatures. The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability on the 88-89°F range reflects traders' assessment of stable atmospheric conditions through peak heating hours. Only substantial afternoon cloud buildup or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push readings into the low 90s, an outcome the latest model runs continue to assign low likelihood.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 99.4%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$76,289 Vol.
$76,289 Vol.
16 mai 2026
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
99%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 99.4%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$76,289 Vol.
$76,289 Vol.
16 mai 2026
86-87°F
$23,910 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12,770 Vol.
99%
90-91°F
$9,461 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$7,688 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5,394 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$2,023 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models and regional guidance currently project a daily high of 88-89°F for Miami on May 16, supported by mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit rapid warming or cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological normals near 86°F for mid-May while reflecting the absence of significant frontal systems or moisture anomalies that could alter surface temperatures. The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability on the 88-89°F range reflects traders' assessment of stable atmospheric conditions through peak heating hours. Only substantial afternoon cloud buildup or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push readings into the low 90s, an outcome the latest model runs continue to assign low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$76,289Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models and regional guidance currently project a daily high of 88-89°F for Miami on May 16, supported by mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit rapid warming or cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological normals near 86°F for mid-May while reflecting the absence of significant frontal systems or moisture anomalies that could alter surface temperatures. The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability on the 88-89°F range reflects traders' assessment of stable atmospheric conditions through peak heating hours. Only substantial afternoon cloud buildup or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push readings into the low 90s, an outcome the latest model runs continue to assign low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76,289Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast models and regional guidance currently project a daily high of 88-89°F for Miami on May 16, supported by mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical late-spring humidity levels that limit rapid warming or cooling. This consensus aligns with climatological normals near 86°F for mid-May while reflecting the absence of significant frontal systems or moisture anomalies that could alter surface temperatures. The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability on the 88-89°F range reflects traders' assessment of stable atmospheric conditions through peak heating hours. Only substantial afternoon cloud buildup or an unexpected shift in steering winds could realistically push readings into the low 90s, an outcome the latest model runs continue to assign low likelihood.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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