National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs currently favor partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near the upper 80s for Miami on May 17, keeping the market nearly split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Subtropical humidity and sea-breeze circulation are expected to moderate peak readings around the climatological normal of 87 °F, while limited afternoon convection and modest wind speeds introduce minor uncertainty in whether the maximum edges above or below 88 °F. Recent model trends show tight agreement on these thresholds, with any late-day clearing or slight subsidence potentially tipping the outcome into the higher bracket. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service update for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 17 de maio?
30-31°C 42%
88-89°F 37%
84-85°F 12%
32-32,8°C 6.3%
$20,416 Vol.
$20,416 Vol.
75°F ou menos
<1%
24-25°C
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
12%
30-31°C
42%
88-89°F
37%
32-32,8°C
6%
92-93°F
3%
94°F ou mais
1%
30-31°C 42%
88-89°F 37%
84-85°F 12%
32-32,8°C 6.3%
$20,416 Vol.
$20,416 Vol.
75°F ou menos
<1%
24-25°C
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
12%
30-31°C
42%
88-89°F
37%
32-32,8°C
6%
92-93°F
3%
94°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs currently favor partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near the upper 80s for Miami on May 17, keeping the market nearly split between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets. Subtropical humidity and sea-breeze circulation are expected to moderate peak readings around the climatological normal of 87 °F, while limited afternoon convection and modest wind speeds introduce minor uncertainty in whether the maximum edges above or below 88 °F. Recent model trends show tight agreement on these thresholds, with any late-day clearing or slight subsidence potentially tipping the outcome into the higher bracket. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service update for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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