Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a stable high-pressure system delivering a daily maximum of 22°C in Milan today, aligning closely with the long-term May climatological average high near 22°C. Current surface observations show mild overnight lows near 10°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting gradual daytime warming without significant moisture or frontal disruption. This evidence underpins the market-implied near-certainty for the 22°C outcome. A realistic shift could occur only if late-day convective clouds or an unanticipated boundary-layer cooling reduces peak insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such deviations by resolution time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 16?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$54,120 Vol.
$54,120 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$54,120 Vol.
$54,120 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a stable high-pressure system delivering a daily maximum of 22°C in Milan today, aligning closely with the long-term May climatological average high near 22°C. Current surface observations show mild overnight lows near 10°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting gradual daytime warming without significant moisture or frontal disruption. This evidence underpins the market-implied near-certainty for the 22°C outcome. A realistic shift could occur only if late-day convective clouds or an unanticipated boundary-layer cooling reduces peak insolation, though ensemble guidance shows low probability for such deviations by resolution time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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