Recent Meteo-France and ECMWF model runs show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and minimal solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near mid-May climatological norms. This strong consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C, with official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to finalize resolution later today. Cooler-than-average conditions, roughly 1–2°C below the typical 18°C high for the date, reinforce trader positioning. Limited ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperatures leaves little room for upward revision, though brief afternoon clearing could theoretically allow a 17°C spike if winds shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de maio?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,136 Vol.
$155,136 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,136 Vol.
$155,136 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C
$29,435 Vol.
100%
17°C
$32,122 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10,666 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,855 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou mais
$3,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Meteo-France and ECMWF model runs show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and minimal solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near mid-May climatological norms. This strong consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C, with official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to finalize resolution later today. Cooler-than-average conditions, roughly 1–2°C below the typical 18°C high for the date, reinforce trader positioning. Limited ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperatures leaves little room for upward revision, though brief afternoon clearing could theoretically allow a 17°C spike if winds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$155,136Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Meteo-France and ECMWF model runs show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and minimal solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near mid-May climatological norms. This strong consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C, with official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to finalize resolution later today. Cooler-than-average conditions, roughly 1–2°C below the typical 18°C high for the date, reinforce trader positioning. Limited ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperatures leaves little room for upward revision, though brief afternoon clearing could theoretically allow a 17°C spike if winds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,136Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Meteo-France and ECMWF model runs show a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies, moderate northwesterly flow, and minimal solar heating that keeps surface temperatures near mid-May climatological norms. This strong consensus underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 16°C, with official observations from Paris-Montsouris expected to finalize resolution later today. Cooler-than-average conditions, roughly 1–2°C below the typical 18°C high for the date, reinforce trader positioning. Limited ensemble spread in boundary-layer temperatures leaves little room for upward revision, though brief afternoon clearing could theoretically allow a 17°C spike if winds shift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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